Mathematical forecasting of individual risk of development of the osteopenic syndrome at woman older then 45 years

Abstract

Risk factors of the osteopenic syndrome on a material of cases of 595 women of 45‑60 years living in Primorsky Krai are analyzed. The mineral density of a bone was investigated, questioning was carried out. It is shown, that Questionnaires of the All‑Russia center of osteoporosis and the International fund of osteoporosis at enough high sensitivity have low specificity. Authors offer their own questionnaire created on the basis of the discriminantal and multivariate statistical analysis which sensitivity was 89% and specificity - 85%. Among the most signifi‑ cant risk factors of the osteopenic syndrome at women of 45-60 years are diabetes, osteoarthrosis, antacids treatment, fractures, later menarche, the duration of the menopause, multigravidity, hypodynamia, blue eyes, alcoholism and hypercalcaemia.