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DEVELOPMENT OF METHOD FOR MATHEMATICAL PREDICTION IN CHOICE OF METHOD OF SINGLE-STAGE RECONSTRUCTIVE BLEPHAROPLASTY FOR CICATRICIAL EYELID DEFECTS

https://doi.org/10.17238/PmJ1609-1175.2019.2.77-80

Abstract

Objective: to develop a method for mathematical prediction of the most effective single-stage reconstructive blepharoplasty.
Methods: 80 patients (80 eyes) were operated on for extensive cicatricial defects of the eyelids with the implementation of plastic twolayer (1st group, 40 people) and three-layer (2nd group, 40 people) grafts. Logistic regression and analysis of ROC-curves were used to identify prognostic parameters that affect the outcome of autograft engraftment. Prognostic criteria: age of patients, area of lost eyelid tissues, average index and microcirculation efficiency index. 
Results: The prognostic significance of only the microcirculation index in the tissues of the damaged eyelid was revealed. If its value is less than 3.5 perfusion units, a complicated type of postoperative scarring is predicted for both types of surgical reconstruction - one-stage plastic reconstruction of cicatricial eyelid defects can be considered ineffective. If the patient has a microcirculation index in the damaged eyelid, it ranges from 3.5 to 7 perf. units, predicted uncomplicated scarring after using a three-layer transplant. When the indicator is 7 perf. units and more, uncomplicated scarring is predicted for both types of single-stage blepharoplasty.
Conclusions: High prognostic efficiency confirms the expediency of applying the developed mathematical model when choosing the optimal method of one-stage composite plastics in patients with cicatricial eyelid defects.

About the Author

P. A. Banschikov
Khabarovsk branch of S.N. Fyodorov NMRC “MNTK “Eye Microsurgery”
Russian Federation

211 Tikhookeanskaya St. Khabarovsk 680033 Russian Federation



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Review

For citations:


Banschikov P.A. DEVELOPMENT OF METHOD FOR MATHEMATICAL PREDICTION IN CHOICE OF METHOD OF SINGLE-STAGE RECONSTRUCTIVE BLEPHAROPLASTY FOR CICATRICIAL EYELID DEFECTS. Pacific Medical Journal. 2019;(2):77-80. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.17238/PmJ1609-1175.2019.2.77-80

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ISSN 1609-1175 (Print)